Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 224.412360 252.699390 284.158291 321.918606 366.247731 416.925967 479.659544
2024-10-20 180.869972 217.640322 262.182229 320.819989 397.052095 494.320418 630.335363
2024-10-27 150.768039 188.914321 237.636065 305.679405 400.311934 530.506058 729.165787
2024-11-03 139.502765 181.104209 236.789752 318.834508 440.321850 619.952097 918.804709
2024-11-10 131.800722 176.431580 238.671098 334.857748 485.677038 724.278266 1156.018289
2024-11-17 121.118979 166.058616 230.783718 334.713157 505.480140 791.377076 1347.624502
2024-11-24 110.047395 153.807868 218.501932 325.695422 508.838638 830.598278 1497.636690
2024-12-01 100.897614 143.445772 207.830762 317.582028 511.926662 869.072469 1655.788704
2024-12-08 96.721003 140.167359 207.665725 326.518814 545.906887 971.102328 1979.351396
2024-12-15 91.505260 134.754790 203.455844 327.823193 565.798820 1049.194333 2274.736239
2024-12-22 85.511072 127.588636 195.656744 321.738978 570.391849 1096.127665 2509.305012
2024-12-29 81.345729 123.043477 191.796702 322.276549 588.052779 1175.018919 2859.003418
2025-01-05 75.868219 116.064595 183.403093 313.828658 586.884470 1213.016203 3115.766011
2025-01-12 72.064341 111.640465 179.124918 312.864893 601.739791 1293.538364 3544.088801
2025-01-19 66.585252 103.981818 168.475997 298.191416 584.121090 1288.750594 3688.791408
2025-01-26 65.503443 103.827542 171.334256 310.938489 630.801686 1463.953485 4572.996375
2025-02-02 64.808587 104.279789 175.313435 326.458731 686.981259 1682.987245 5793.481056
2025-02-09 62.181985 101.084254 172.131122 326.318707 704.627654 1794.718695 6641.409694
2025-02-16 58.747167 96.208074 165.353388 317.584807 698.916166 1832.705334 7168.708613
2025-02-23 55.674793 91.824598 159.235514 309.725053 694.388490 1874.006238 7753.440227
2025-03-02 54.630196 91.135637 160.344163 318.382366 735.994143 2084.556776 9503.572018
2025-03-09 52.870600 88.991273 158.365336 319.645787 757.324255 2231.488993 11046.455442
2025-03-16 50.516295 85.584142 153.579057 313.752256 757.105777 2298.506993 12130.264245